Statistical Evaluation of Venous Thrombus Embolization Possibility

  • А.А. Шайдуров Altai State University (Barnaul, Russia) Email: shaidurov@phys.asu.ru
  • Н.Г. Хорев Altai State Medical University (Barnaul, Russia) Email: xorev-ng@mail.ru
  • В.В Щербинин Altai State University (Barnaul, Russia); L.V. Kirensky Institute of Physics of the Siberian Branch of the RAS Email: scherbinin@phys.asu.ru
  • А.В. Акатов Regional Clinical Hospital at Barnaul railway station, OJSC “RZHD” Email: aneston@mail.ru
  • М.И. Неймарк Altai State Medical University (Barnaul, Russia) Email: mineimark@mail.ru
  • А.П Момот Altai Branch of Hematological Research Center of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Barnaul, Russia) Email: xyzan@yandex.ru
DOI_disc_logo https://doi.org/10.14258/izvasu(2016)1-33
Keywords: statistical methods of data analysis, the method of confi dence intervals, discriminant analysis, phlebothrombosis, pulmonary embolism

Abstract

In this paper, the risk assessment of venous thrombus embolization under phlebothrombosis and factors that lead to pulmonary embolism (PE) has been considered. The statistical model has been constructed using the results of non-specific clinical trials. The Neumann’s method of confidence intervals is utilized for selection of statistically significant differences among four data samples of patients with different diagnoses. Revealed statistically significant differences are used in further studies as a priori information for the development of PE risk profiles. Further studies are carried out using discriminant analysis. A complex of factors is revealed that has a maximum discriminating efficiency in PE determination for different categories of patients. The reliability of the results is evaluated by solving the identified systems of classification linear equations. Parameters commonly used in medical statistics, such as sensitivity and specificity, being the analogues of the first and second kind of errors are also evaluated.

DOI 10.14258/izvasu(2016)1-33

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Author Biographies

А.А. Шайдуров, Altai State University (Barnaul, Russia)
кандидат технических наук, доцент кафедры вычислительной техники и электроники
Н.Г. Хорев, Altai State Medical University (Barnaul, Russia)
доктор медицинских наук, профессор, профессор кафедры факультетской хирургии им. И.И. Неймарка с курсом хирургии ФПК и ППС
В.В Щербинин, Altai State University (Barnaul, Russia); L.V. Kirensky Institute of Physics of the Siberian Branch of the RAS
кандидат физико-математических наук, доцент кафедры радиофизики и теоретической физики; научный сотрудник
А.В. Акатов, Regional Clinical Hospital at Barnaul railway station, OJSC “RZHD”
кандидат медицинских наук, врач анестезиолог-реаниматолог
М.И. Неймарк, Altai State Medical University (Barnaul, Russia)
доктор медицинских наук, профессор, заведующий кафедрой анестезиологии и реаниматологии
А.П Момот, Altai Branch of Hematological Research Center of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Barnaul, Russia)
доктор медицинских наук, профессор, директор

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How to Cite
Шайдуров А., Хорев Н., Щербинин В., Акатов А., Неймарк М., Момот А. Statistical Evaluation of Venous Thrombus Embolization Possibility // Izvestiya of Altai State University, 1, № 1(89) DOI: 10.14258/izvasu(2016)1-33. URL: http://izvestiya.asu.ru/article/view/%282016%291-33.
Issue
No 1(89) (2016): Известия Алтайского государственного университета
Section
Статьи

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